Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.010304 0.012453 0.015147 0.018855 0.023964 0.030981 0.041788
2024-10-20 0.007601 0.009962 0.013307 0.018648 0.027533 0.043018 0.075992
2024-10-27 0.006518 0.009039 0.012941 0.019934 0.033580 0.063444 0.155622
2024-11-03 0.005868 0.008511 0.012907 0.021612 0.041333 0.096157 0.371391
2024-11-10 0.005397 0.008127 0.012955 0.023410 0.050771 0.149681 1.174835
2024-11-17 0.004827 0.007451 0.012286 0.023430 0.055898 0.202237 3.989460
2024-11-24 0.004335 0.006821 0.011551 0.023018 0.059606 0.262725 24.555156
2024-12-01 0.003820 0.006071 0.010430 0.021292 0.057787 0.288227 224.411851
2024-12-08 0.003447 0.005537 0.009662 0.020253 0.057950 0.335766 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003205 0.005221 0.009295 0.020177 0.062074 0.451332 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003041 0.005031 0.009165 0.020726 0.069713 0.698948 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002876 0.004821 0.008956 0.020982 0.076519 1.081808 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002614 0.004415 0.008292 0.019835 0.075978 1.366339 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002431 0.004152 0.007935 0.019608 0.081361 2.320465 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002349 0.004087 0.008037 0.020988 0.100610 9.519488 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002289 0.004058 0.008222 0.022793 0.129544 464.080528 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002232 0.004030 0.008403 0.024732 0.169486 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002115 0.003853 0.008152 0.024754 0.188469 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001996 0.003659 0.007824 0.024309 0.200739 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001846 0.003384 0.007232 0.022449 0.184761 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001730 0.003179 0.006818 0.021331 0.180607 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001654 0.003059 0.006633 0.021249 0.196633 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001603 0.002991 0.006585 0.021839 0.231746 NaN NaN